Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.189726 0.213924 0.239454 0.268341 0.300060 0.333770 0.372246
2025-06-01 0.156096 0.188507 0.224609 0.267608 0.317220 0.372457 0.438390
2025-06-08 0.131657 0.168897 0.212382 0.266492 0.331567 0.406844 0.500009
2025-06-15 0.116312 0.157443 0.207509 0.272209 0.352815 0.449094 0.571867
2025-06-22 0.101598 0.144684 0.199206 0.272168 0.366025 0.481397 0.632468
2025-06-29 0.089526 0.133724 0.191714 0.271845 0.377962 0.511803 0.691223
2025-07-06 0.079484 0.124224 0.184960 0.271420 0.389013 0.540831 0.748692
2025-07-13 0.072259 0.117769 0.181514 0.274741 0.404607 0.575784 0.814553
2025-07-20 0.067263 0.113932 0.181194 0.281991 0.425430 0.618005 0.891048
2025-07-27 0.061406 0.108149 0.177476 0.283912 0.438597 0.650029 0.954603
2025-08-03 0.057422 0.104819 0.176977 0.290209 0.457895 0.690779 1.030982
2025-08-10 0.054144 0.102257 0.177336 0.297585 0.478801 0.734198 1.112107
2025-08-17 0.048827 0.095955 0.171631 0.295716 0.486468 0.759806 1.170137
2025-08-24 0.044376 0.090658 0.167063 0.295197 0.495933 0.788120 1.232720
2025-08-31 0.040299 0.085580 0.162412 0.294140 0.504334 0.814956 1.293790
2025-09-07 0.037977 0.083429 0.162413 0.300430 0.524150 0.859036 1.380972
2025-09-14 0.034800 0.079338 0.158767 0.300433 0.533960 0.888335 1.447095
2025-09-21 0.031887 0.075433 0.155112 0.300109 0.543067 0.916661 1.512345
2025-09-28 0.029238 0.071759 0.151560 0.299663 0.551803 0.944499 1.577410
2025-10-05 0.027392 0.069525 0.150435 0.303277 0.567203 0.982945 1.659397
2025-10-12 0.026245 0.068640 0.151728 0.311148 0.589875 1.033287 1.760733
2025-10-19 0.024469 0.066200 0.149877 0.313236 0.602802 1.068500 1.839451
2025-10-26 0.023379 0.065166 0.150649 0.320068 0.623965 1.117305 1.940376